He accused
Mexico of sending rapists to the US, said
immigrants steal jobs from Americans, pledged to ban Muslims entry to the US,
threatened to commit a war crime, made misogynistic tirades, and insulted the disabled, the media, war heroes, countries and a hundred other things.
The world
is keeping Trump under close scrutiny.
A poll by
the Pew Research Center showed that Trump was the unpopular choice when it
comes to making right decisions on world affairs, getting negative ratings in nearly every
country surveyed in Europe and Asia.
Now that he
has clinched the Republican nomination, Asia has all the more reason to keep a
closer watch, especially as the region can lose big time if Trump and his
foreign policy make it to the White House.A slew of Trumps plans is already
sending jitters to the region. These include migration bans, trade
protectionism, and the pullout of US military forces from allied countries.
On
Immigration:
Immigration
is the signature issue of the Trump campaign. He has proposed a
2,000-mile wall along the US-Mexico border as part of his immigration reform
plan. He also proposed to refuse all Muslims from entering the US after
the December 2015 San Bernardino attacks. His latest proposal last June was to
ban immigrants "from areas of the world where there is a proven history of
terrorism against the United States, Europe or our allies."
CNN
crunched the numbers and came up with 40 countries, including the Philippines
where two terror groups are listed, or as many as 10.2 million people who could
be affected by such policy. In its breakdown, it is said that the State
Department has granted 2,561,762 non-immigrant visas in 2015 to residents of
those countries.The Philippines was issued the second most number of visas last
year at 235,221.
Current
counts show that there are 4 million Filipinos in the US. They sent 31.22
percent of the total worker remittance, which sustains the Philippine economy,
in 2015. Overseas Filipinos in the US also sent the most in remittances last
year at $8.04 billion.
On Trade:
Although saying he is pro-free trade, Trump has opposed several US trade agreements, such as the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), which he claims were poorly negotiated and led to loss of jobs for Americans.
As the world's manufacturing hub, Asia would get hit hard. And within Asia, the Philippines and South Korea would be the most at risk, securities firm Nomura said in an interview with Bloomberg late last month, revealing results of its investor survey.
Trump has opposed a 2012 free trade deal between the US and South Korea which he said is killing jobs in America. He also wants South Korea, which has long hosted US bases, to pay for security Americans are providing there.
Meanwhile, Philippine exports to the US could be affected if tariffs are placed. The booming business process outsourcing (BPO) industry in the country would also be greatly affected if Trump brings jobs back to the US.
FT Confidential Research forecast an estimated $25.5 billion in BPO revenues this year.
Nomura's survey showed that 77 percent of respondents expect a Trump government to brand China as a currency manipulator, which could trigger a range of trade barriers.
Trade restrictions with China, the world’s largest manufacturing assembler and biggest trading partner of the US in 2015, could have substantial "knock-on effects" to other Asian countries that supply high value-added parts and components to Beijing, Nomura said. As the world's manufacturing hub, Asia would get hit hard. And within Asia, the Philippines and South Korea would be the most at risk, securities firm Nomura said in an interview with Bloomberg late last month, revealing results of its investor survey.
Security
Trump promised to expand the presence of US troops in the disputed South China Sea to deter China yet, at the same time, said he would withdraw military forces from allied countries like Japan and Korea unless they “increase their contribution significantly”—a move that could threaten security in the region.
China may assert itself more prominently in the region’s geopolitics if US alliances with Japan and Korea weakens, Bonnie Glaser, director of the China Power Project at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, noted.
Beijing also expects Trump to focus more on the ISIS threat and less on the US pivot to Asia pushed by President Barack Obama, which is seen by many in China as a threat to its rising power, Glaser added.
Analysts are in agreement that as far as China is concerned, dealing with “businessman” Trump would be easier, if not favorable, to Beijing compared to a government led by Hillary Clinton who is seen to continue the US pivot to Asia and push for parties to abide by the Hague-based tribunal’s decision. —
Trump has opposed a 2012 free trade deal between the US and South Korea which he said is killing jobs in America. He also wants South Korea, which has long hosted US bases, to pay for security Americans are providing there.
Meanwhile, Philippine exports to the US could be affected if tariffs are placed. The booming business process outsourcing (BPO) industry in the country would also be greatly affected if Trump brings jobs back to the US.
FT Confidential Research forecast an estimated $25.5 billion in BPO revenues this year.
Source: The Philippine Star
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